Polished-Soul
0xd7300225af7ffe2595b4332c536ee4e0c799f872
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.86
Total PnL
$-209.53
Realised
$-4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
15 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.86
$3.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
1167 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
220 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.60
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
157 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
52 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.60
- YES
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?
47 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?$2.00Sep 11, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nord Stream" or "Pipeline" during conference with Putin on August 15?$0.00Aug 25, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?$0.00Aug 25, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?$0.00Aug 25, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in August?$21.00Aug 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$11.00Aug 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$11.00Aug 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?$21.00Aug 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?$20.00Aug 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$25.00Aug 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia announces air truce by August 31?$20.00Aug 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.70Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser by August 31?$8.00Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?$5.50Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $5400 in August?$5.60Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$4.62Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$2.28Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.12Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?$1.54Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.43Aug 18, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 11, 22:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.