Thorny-Caramel
0xd73a56931c7d763ef741ccf14e6c9f60666d6ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$22.62
Total PnL
$-2.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?
23 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$22.62
$3.62
- YES
Harris wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Bitcoin hits $80k before election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep
3 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- BAUGH
CA-47 election: Min (D) vs. Baugh (R)
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?
2 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$19.00Sep 19, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$1.69Sep 19, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin hits $80k before election?$1.04Oct 30, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarris wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?$1.36Oct 30, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep $0.30Oct 30, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?$1.30Oct 30, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA-47 election: Min (D) vs. Baugh (R)$1.14Oct 30, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenSea blocks US users in 2024?$2.22Oct 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qualcomm acquire Intel?$2.44Oct 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$5.1KOct 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?$0.62Oct 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qualcomm acquire Intel?$2.50Oct 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea blocks US users in 2024?$2.30Oct 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$0.71Oct 9, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?$0.30Oct 9, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$5.1KOct 9, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $686.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 19, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".