Past-Fav
0xd73de328b95113213a8054dcc83dce94ffe6a8dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 30% and 35%?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be greater than $280 on October 10?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by less than 30%?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $138,000 October 6-12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.98Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.97Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.96Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.97Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.98Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$204.15Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.97Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$502.90Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$503.42Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $138.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.