Academic-Rule
0xd74312e5dda7d88ccbf80506da54f582926159bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
198
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$17.78
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- YES
Jon Stewart cancelled by December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
307 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SABALENKA
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios
270 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-41.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-02?$17.12Jan 5, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?$30.00Jan 5, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)$52.52Jan 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?$16.80Jan 4, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-04?$12.60Jan 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)$5.20Jan 4, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?$20.00Jan 4, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winner$89.90Jan 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winner$13.63Jan 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5$14.40Jan 4, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3)$29.97Jan 4, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMAdelaide United FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5$20.00Jan 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?$20.00Jan 4, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-04?$17.00Jan 4, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?$15.00Jan 4, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winner$1.37Jan 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winner$14.10Jan 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 1 Winner$4.72Jan 4, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 1 Winner$7.08Jan 4, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3)$13.20Jan 4, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".