Mortified-Tray
0xd7442cb5492cd76a031aa5680e3d3531f0e8b9fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.64
Total PnL
$-5.44
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Micron Technology (MU) Up or Down After Earnings?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.56
$-0.44
- NO
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- YES
Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran strike on Israel before December?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$1.00Dec 11, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Dec 11, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicron Technology (MU) Up or Down After Earnings?$1.00Dec 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.78Dec 11, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMSPOLU wins 20% or more of vote in Czech election?$1.79Dec 11, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPOLU wins 20% or more of vote in Czech election?$1.00Sep 26, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Sep 26, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.93Sep 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.98Sep 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 25, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jul 25, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$1.92Jul 25, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?$1.00May 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$1.00May 16, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$2.27May 16, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by September 18?$0.00Dec 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?$1.00Nov 2, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel before December?$1.00Nov 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$1.00Nov 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 2, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".