Bite-Sized-Patron
0xd744f3b6aee56382c3eee1a74d441bae44f253ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
119
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-205.52
Realised
$103.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11666 shares @ 9.9¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$476.06
- NO
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$83.33
$78.33
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
43 shares @ 11.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.34
$-2.66
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
3510 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-189.99
- YES
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
3115 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?
1157 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will any other driver finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.