Marvelous-Riser
0xd74dbd7bee68e559824ba9eeb1d6d880653cff5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$210.00
Total PnL
$-28.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
110 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.00
$9.46
- NO
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.00
$12.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
11417 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-562.99
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?
8831 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.8K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
6024 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
5500 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
5500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.8K
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
3001 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
2995 shares @ 82.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
1589 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-212.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$114.36Jan 12, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$4.70Jan 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$1.47Jan 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$12.42Jan 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$5.29Jan 12, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$24.48Jan 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$24.26Jan 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$0.53Jan 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$24.70Jan 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$0.67Jan 12, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$50.00Jan 12, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$209.98Jan 12, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?$2.60Dec 7, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?$2.60Dec 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?$2.60Dec 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?$18.20Dec 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?$6.8KDec 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?$6.9KDec 6, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?$20.00Dec 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?$3.9KDec 5, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $634.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 22:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".