Decisive-Tunic
0xd760d9f3ad9544d30a4563fcb64f776f0baf4616
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$14.74
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
302 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
56 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
43 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
42 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
40 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
40 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
39 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
39 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$4.00Jan 19, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.00Jan 19, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.72Jan 19, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Jan 19, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.00Jan 19, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.08Jan 19, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.72Jan 19, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.00Jan 19, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.89Jan 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.00Jan 19, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.67Jan 19, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.79Jan 19, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.46Jan 19, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.