Surprised-Antecedent
0xd767954fef51a54ad965ad4f42410def34e17c84
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-420.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during WEF Address on January 21?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Denmark" or "Norway" during WEF Address on January 21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
779 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.51
- NO
Will Trump say "Expert" or "Genius" during WEF Address on January 21?
723 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
658 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
645 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
257 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
249 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$54.51Mar 23, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$0.35Mar 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$0.48Mar 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$11.67Mar 12, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$460.84Mar 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$48.33Feb 1, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$186.70Feb 1, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$48.33Feb 1, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$43.42Feb 1, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$0.00Jan 23, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$0.00Jan 23, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$0.00Jan 23, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$25.77Jan 23, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$56.91Jan 23, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$60.60Jan 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$3.41Jan 22, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$3.41Jan 22, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$5.40Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$5.40Jan 21, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Palestine" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$18.08Jan 21, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $23.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".