Reasonable-Hobby
0xd76e083691c499573b198e84ae210a0815786083
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
8432 shares @ 42.7¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.6K
$991.22
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
4803 shares @ 20.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$272.79
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
4609 shares @ 11.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$737.44
$224.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.35
$3.65
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
1829 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-129.89
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1617 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-19.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
470 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
380 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.60Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$40.19May 30, 16:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.53May 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.28May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.70May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$687.36May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.0KMay 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.86May 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 18, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $215.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.