Wallet digest

active

Activity score

33/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-427.15

Realised

$-131.70

Win rate

12 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 27

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
190 shares @ 89.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-169.69
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
163 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
122 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-2.30
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
117 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
58 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-16.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$6.64Jan 26, 12:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.75Dec 20, 10:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 10:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Dec 20, 10:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$4.42Dec 20, 10:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 10:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$10.00Dec 20, 10:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.90Dec 20, 07:43 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.52Dec 20, 07:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.00Dec 20, 07:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 07:42 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$8.63Dec 20, 07:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.80Dec 20, 07:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Dec 20, 07:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Dec 20, 07:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.52Dec 19, 10:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Dec 19, 10:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Dec 19, 10:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.86Dec 19, 08:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Dec 19, 08:23 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence40 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry15 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk37 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $7.18
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 18, 21:50 UTC
Last active: Jan 26, 12:11 UTC
Win rate sample: 12 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 08:26:11 UTC·src:Polymarket Data