Marvelous-Camel
0xd79ce2618c23b11428e813719a02412cde46b510
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$5.05
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 31, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $580 before 2026?$1.01Jan 4, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$500.00Dec 11, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.45Dec 11, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.50Dec 11, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$12.00Dec 11, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$238.00Dec 11, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?$1.00Dec 11, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $910 in November?$1.00Dec 11, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in November?$1.01Dec 11, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.02Dec 11, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $134.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".