Welcome-Circumference
0xd7a14101f18ea274164cb504a7ec3b72fd2a77ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$228.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
364 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$364.00
$265.72
- NO
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
246 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$246.00
$25.58
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
236 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.22
$5.90
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
210 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$210.00
$10.29
- YES
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
185 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$185.00
$35.15
- YES
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
173 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$173.00
$20.76
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
121 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$121.00
$2.66
- NO
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
114 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-77.52
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
103 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-60.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by January 31?$215.00Feb 3, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$199.00Feb 1, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$181.09Jan 29, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$201.08Jan 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by February 28?$77.52Jan 26, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by January 31?$189.20Jan 23, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$190.20Jan 23, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$220.42Jan 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$128.02Jan 22, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by February 28?$61.29Jan 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by February 28?$36.99Jan 20, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$176.70Jan 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$126.29Jan 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$189.42Jan 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$176.70Jan 15, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2025 be the second hottest year on record?$162.00Jan 14, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$191.73Jan 13, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC North?$190.00Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$194.00Jan 1, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran nuclear test in 2025?$0.18Jan 1, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $145.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".