Ill-Fated-Blackbird
0xd7a6ad553ff00b537e8c4b1512f13f3d9da510c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
895 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 7?$0.00Jan 8, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?$0.00Jan 8, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jan 7, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jan 7, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 7, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 7, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 7, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 7, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Jan 7, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Jan 7, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.