0xd7abc16bb80366d15a1948376fbff1470c31d48d
0xd7abc16bb80366d15a1948376fbff1470c31d48d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-692.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
2133 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.11
- YES
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1400 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-302.52
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
883 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?
220 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
126 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.49
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.98
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
56 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
34 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$20.46Mar 23, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.45Mar 23, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$19.65Mar 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$19.65Mar 22, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$78.47Mar 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$112.10Mar 22, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$24.05Mar 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$100.00Mar 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$500.00Mar 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$67.00Mar 18, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$200.00Mar 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Mar 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$58.49Feb 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Turkson be the next pope?$20.00May 8, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$0.00May 8, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?$74.15May 8, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?$75.00May 8, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$15.00May 8, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00May 8, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,800 on February 28?$0.00May 8, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $60.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.