Noxious-Password
0xd7ac8d519f383b03d881c8a5bd82980a4b775bf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$21.51
Total PnL
$-232.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$21.51
$1.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
241 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-174.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 6PM ET
188 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$20.00Jan 4, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$20.00Jan 4, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Hornets$0.00Jan 4, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.00Jan 4, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Bulls$0.00Jan 3, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 3, 6PM ET$20.00Jan 3, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$20.00Jan 3, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$39.00Jan 3, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$135.89Nov 23, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$7.37Nov 23, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.53Nov 23, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.53Nov 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.15Nov 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6.75Nov 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$7.67Nov 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.53Nov 23, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6.45Nov 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6.75Nov 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$4.61Nov 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.38Nov 23, 05:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $51.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.