Impressive-Awe
0xd7acb3a203ade83e04cf47f3b11c60ed2f3bf764
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-510.0K
Realised
$-8.0K
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
334113 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-190.4K
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
263299 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-72.5K
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
261086 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-81.9K
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
76570 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-37.7K
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
68645 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.3K
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
66014 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.0K
- OVER
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
25424 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.0K
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
20311 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.0K
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
17604 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.9K
- UNDER
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
8636 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
Recent activity
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 20, 12:20 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$9.67Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$0.00Jul 19, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 19, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$1.7KJul 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$19.99Jul 19, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$9.99Jul 19, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$9.99Jul 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$19.99Jul 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$19.99Jul 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$49.99Jul 19, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$119.99Jul 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$9.98Jul 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 12:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.