0xd7b2671900b50acc481247215513b2cc98dbbddd
0xd7b2671900b50acc481247215513b2cc98dbbddd
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$28.33
Total PnL
$-13.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.74
$6.81
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 16.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.59
$8.80
- NO
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
6 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$6.00
$3.48
- B8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
8980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals
37 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$4.26Jun 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$4.44Jun 24, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$4.49Jun 24, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$2.59Jun 24, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$1.86Jun 13, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.85Jun 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$7.38Jun 12, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.98Jun 12, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$8.47Jun 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$9.34Jun 12, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$19.96Jun 4, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$4.60Jun 4, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.86Jun 2, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$9.22Jun 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$28.57Jun 2, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$10.29May 29, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $5.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.