Incomparable-Ceramic
0xd7b4ada61318f0b4e95d9f83eb91920dc3e44fb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-528.65
Realised
$-10.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
2039 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 6?
817 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ET
777 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 54°F or below on November 7?
715 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?
418 shares @ 75.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-316.45
- NO
Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?
203 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 6?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
123 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?
70 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?
59 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.38Dec 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ET$2.00Nov 7, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ET$5.00Nov 7, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ET$5.00Nov 7, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ET$10.00Nov 7, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?$22.72Nov 7, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 7?$1.00Nov 7, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 7?$8.00Nov 7, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on November 7?$0.12Nov 7, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 7?$310.00Nov 7, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$62.50Nov 7, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Asia" or "Asian" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$79.17Nov 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?$5.92Nov 6, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$31.11Nov 6, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?$42.55Nov 6, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$51.31Nov 6, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?$20.67Nov 6, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 54°F or below on November 7?$20.00Nov 6, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?$35.00Nov 6, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $28.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 22:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".