0xd7c972c266033235b3006b87571032dc942b1ec6
0xd7c972c266033235b3006b87571032dc942b1ec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$37.76
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-13.41
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
259 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.7¢·exp Oct 22, 2026$9.57
$-1.61
- YES
Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
667 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$8.67
$-0.67
- YES
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
249 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$7.85
$-2.13
- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
48 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$6.31
$-0.30
- YES
Will Steph Curry's next team be Boston Celtics?
100 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.4¢·exp Feb 11, 2027$4.38
$0.68
- YES
Will Steph Curry's next team be Miami Heat?
162 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Feb 11, 2027$0.97
$-0.88
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52775 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-64.44
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
14198 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.18
- BRANDON NAKASHIMA
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
9646 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.62
- AS ROMA
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
4910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$9.80Aug 9, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?$4.95Aug 4, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?$6.77Aug 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steph Curry's next team be Boston Celtics?$1.94Aug 3, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steph Curry's next team be Boston Celtics?$1.94Aug 3, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steph Curry's next team be Miami Heat?$1.94Aug 3, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$7.41Aug 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.51Aug 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.51Aug 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.51Aug 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.51Aug 3, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Linde (LIN) Q2 sales be above $3.8B?$1.52Jul 31, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$4.92Jul 30, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$4.08Jul 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrosoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?$4.18Jul 27, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$5.54Jul 24, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$2.82Jul 24, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$1.68Jul 24, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 105 mph?$2.95Jul 24, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$1.53Jul 24, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.