Wallet digest

active

Activity score

41/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.8K

Realised

$-60.00

Win rate

33%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 50

YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
757 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-380.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
502 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
282 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-98.71
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-1.01
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9PM ET
166 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-56.44
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
162 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025
$0.00
$-80.00
YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00

Recent activity

MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 17, 01:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$14.78Feb 16, 04:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 04:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.50Feb 16, 03:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$20.00Feb 16, 03:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$7.33Feb 16, 03:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 03:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$31.37Feb 16, 03:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$9.00Feb 16, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$30.00Feb 16, 03:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$33.76Feb 15, 15:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 15:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 14:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 12:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$22.66Feb 15, 12:28 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$24.55Feb 15, 12:28 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 12:28 UTC
TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$22.92Feb 15, 12:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 12:22 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity33 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry74 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 19
Avg trade size: $30.80
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 15, 11:55 UTC
Last active: Feb 17, 01:36 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:27:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data