Ornate-Disease
0xd7d72e799e497132e453788aec62d91d2192f2a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-47.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Rodríguez and Medina advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
651 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
502 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
211 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 19 at 5PM ET?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?
58 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 19 at 5PM ET?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$3.00Oct 8, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.00Sep 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$4.00Sep 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?$1.00Aug 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodríguez and Medina advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$1.00Aug 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodríguez and Medina advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$1.00Aug 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$4.00Aug 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$4.00Aug 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodríguez and Medina advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$3.00Aug 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Aug 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$1.15Jul 31, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Jul 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 21, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 20, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$1.30Jul 20, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$2.76Jul 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 20, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$1.00Jul 20, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstronomer Divorce Parlay$1.00Jul 20, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.00Jul 20, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".