Discrete-Fight
0xd7e4583b6d806f1e25b0665f001b4b76ce0e03d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.73
Total PnL
$-708.53
Realised
$-35.96
Win rate
5%
158 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$2.73
$2.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
51 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-28.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
51 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
51 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
51 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-26.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
51 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-24.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
39 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
36 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.83Aug 19, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.13Aug 19, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.92Aug 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.57Aug 19, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.25Aug 19, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.07Aug 19, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.00Aug 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.06Aug 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.26Aug 19, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.06Aug 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.11Aug 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.42Aug 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.24Aug 19, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.24Aug 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.54Aug 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.53Aug 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$3.77Aug 19, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.14Aug 19, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.15Aug 19, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Aug 19, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 158 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
158 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 158 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.