Ragged-Spiral
0xd7e4ed4efafd4e09b35d44e06258a716e7b17137
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$73.16
Total PnL
$-349.86
Realised
$3.14
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
364 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
319 shares @ 7.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.82
$-16.18
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
310 shares @ 7.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.51
$-16.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
245 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.01
$-5.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
136 shares @ 7.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.88
$-4.12
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
21 shares @ 23.3¢·now 26.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
173 shares @ 7.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.89
$-6.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
208 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.85
$-4.15
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.60
$-1.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$16.04Jul 13, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$19.25Jul 13, 01:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $9.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.