Smug-Chestnut
0xd7f4cac9f5b4ca88bf8bf814330445a103a214dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$375.84
Total PnL
$-479.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
209 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$209.02
$9.02
- YES
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$161.29
$61.29
- YES
Will Doug Burgum be a member of the Trump administration?
6 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$5.54
$0.54
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
1250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
557 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$200.00Dec 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$200.00Dec 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$250.00Dec 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$100.00Nov 17, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$100.00Nov 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Burgum be a member of the Trump administration? $5.00Nov 13, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $142.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".