Shrill-Marsh
0xd7f57b0fea1e718a9bef5ead67db53e9e16f79a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$2.88
Total PnL
$-92.41
Realised
$-1.68
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-0.38
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 4AM ET
1044 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
132 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 31?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.50May 5, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.54May 5, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 9AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 1?$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 1?$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET$0.01Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$0.00Mar 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$0.24Mar 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.53Mar 16, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.04Mar 11, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".