Crowded-Applewood
0xd7f5b52222081491812c1d80b37b7944b2885295
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$22.20
Total PnL
$-1.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$4.23
$1.23
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.17
$0.17
- YES
California redistricting referendum passes?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
3 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.22
$0.22
- NO
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$3.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.74
$-0.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
79 shares @ 4.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.62
$-2.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$4.51Nov 14, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$3.85Nov 14, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?$4.54Nov 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$5.10Nov 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$5.08Nov 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?$5.82Nov 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$6.42Nov 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out in 2025?$7.99Nov 14, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$8.77Nov 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called in 2025?$10.46Nov 7, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$10.78Nov 7, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$11.62Nov 7, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$15.40Nov 7, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$17.66Nov 7, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$18.58Nov 7, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$19.49Nov 7, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$24.75Nov 7, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$37.07Nov 7, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$42.88Nov 7, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $12.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".