Old-Gain
0xd7f6e2e0f4fb1711eaace101663aadc1af02bacb
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-508.00
Realised
$-150.33
Win rate
6%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 30?
195 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 22?
171 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
138 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-135.08
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 31?
110 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.75
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 7?
102 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?
101 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 31?
94 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
93 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
92 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 7?$2.84Aug 7, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$3.37Jul 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?$3.21Jul 1, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 28?$123.71Jun 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 28?$121.85Jun 27, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?$2.71May 26, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 24?$151.97May 24, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$2.08May 23, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 24?$147.27May 23, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 24?$1.96May 23, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$2.20May 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 22?$1.10May 22, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?$152.45May 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?$0.02May 15, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?$0.28May 15, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?$150.01May 15, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$130.16May 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$3.44May 7, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$0.16May 7, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$127.79May 7, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $41.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.