Tense-Codepage
0xd8057916d1187badd43183a60c3d008b90c952c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
169
Open notional
$404.29
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$14.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
103 shares @ 58.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.98
$19.98
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
72 shares @ 83.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$69.22
$9.22
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?
70 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$68.93
$8.93
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?
65 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$64.66
$4.66
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
65 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$63.42
$3.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
43 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$38.48
$8.48
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in July?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.93
$0.93
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.93
$-5.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.12
$-1.87
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.31
$-9.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?$65.22Jul 20, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 13-19?$63.83Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$33.33Jul 18, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of July 13 2026?$76.92Jul 17, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of July 13 2026?$64.52Jul 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$5.33Jul 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$30.65Jul 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?$5.15Jul 15, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?$1.85Jul 15, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$20.12Jul 15, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?$1.07Jul 14, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 13-19?$60.25Jul 14, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?$2.13Jul 14, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?$60.34Jul 14, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of July 13 2026?$60.17Jul 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of July 13 2026?$60.53Jul 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$43.81Jul 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in July?$1.04Jul 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in July?$10.04Jul 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?$10.12Jul 10, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.