Youthful-Octave
0xd80a97786f3853e6af3e3dc077cd03b638b8c4f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$195.81
Total PnL
$-186.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
62 shares @ 65.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$62.47
$21.46
- NO
Government shutdown on Saturday?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$58.82
$38.82
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?
46 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$45.54
$26.87
- SEAHAWKS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$28.99
$8.99
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
140 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-19.54
- YES
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
87 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
57 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
50 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$16.77Feb 6, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$20.00Feb 6, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$20.00Feb 6, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$20.00Feb 6, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$20.00Feb 6, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?$18.67Dec 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$40.00Dec 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$49.40Dec 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$41.00Dec 13, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$33.51Dec 13, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 12?$16.67Nov 30, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$9.90Nov 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?$10.00Nov 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$15.00Nov 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$15.00Nov 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$19.54Nov 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$35.00Nov 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$10.00Nov 10, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$10.00Nov 10, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?$10.00Nov 10, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $19.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".