Dark-Plenty
0xd817ce3d0c2b869080de28e0554572107ce8fb1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$33.33
Total PnL
$-152.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$16.67
$6.67
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.67
$6.67
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
119 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
114 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
68 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
17 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$27.86Mar 10, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$45.45Mar 5, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$58.14Mar 4, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$10.00Mar 4, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 4, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 4, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$19.61Mar 2, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$43.10Mar 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$20.00Mar 1, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$10.00Mar 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$25.00Feb 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$40.00Jan 30, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$55.56Jan 26, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$20.00Jan 25, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$7.23Jan 25, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$20.00Jan 23, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$25.00Jan 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$15.00Jan 15, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $17.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.