Several-Grape
0xd82b86256c722aaca1c1c626bcb927368403c847
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on September 29?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on September 29?
1761 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 71°F or higher on September 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?
13 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
5 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$0.29Oct 1, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?$1.00Oct 1, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?$1.00Oct 1, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2025?$1.00Oct 1, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$2.97Oct 1, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$0.03Oct 1, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1.35Oct 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on October 1?$1.04Sep 30, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on October 1?$1.00Sep 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 30?$2.38Sep 30, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$0.29Sep 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?$2.14Sep 30, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 30, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 30?$1.00Sep 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?$0.32Sep 30, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 1, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".