Soupy-Employer
0xd830e1e43a09db7952d09a6de43d8c7518f338b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-429.42
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on June 4?
281 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
67 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- INDIANA FEVER
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries
43 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FLAVIO COBOLLI
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
31 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- TEAM HERETICS
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
28 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.21Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$1.03Jun 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.04Jun 16, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$1.03Jun 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?$2.94Jun 16, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15?$2.70Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.07Jun 15, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$3.19Jun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$3.01Jun 15, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.05Jun 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15?$1.04Jun 15, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$2.06Jun 15, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$11.00Jun 15, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?$1.03Jun 15, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?$1.04Jun 15, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?$1.05Jun 15, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?$1.05Jun 15, 03:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.