Wallet digest

active

Activity score

62/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$22.10

Total PnL

$-138.69

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 17

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$22.10
$1.77
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
981 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-22.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
47 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-20.61
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
38 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
31 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-27.14
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
21 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-18.61
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
19 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025
$0.00
$-17.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-3.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
5 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$20.33Dec 28, 11:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 11:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$20.33Dec 25, 11:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$19.31Dec 25, 11:41 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.18Dec 25, 11:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 11:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$23.13Dec 25, 11:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$22.84Dec 25, 11:10 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.38Dec 25, 11:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 11:04 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$23.45Dec 25, 10:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$20.04Dec 25, 10:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$22.04Dec 25, 10:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$20.94Dec 25, 10:26 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.40Dec 25, 10:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.96Dec 25, 10:05 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.55Dec 25, 09:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 09:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$7.37Dec 25, 08:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.00Dec 25, 08:36 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry35 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk73 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 23
Avg trade size: $8.37
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 25, 06:31 UTC
Last active: Dec 28, 11:06 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:41:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data