Sad-Tambourine
0xd839b81a4796f923daeecc5236f8f93b81647cc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-142.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
344 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-93.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?
169 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in September?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in September?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 22-24 ET?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
42 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
17 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? $8.33Sep 27, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$27.52Sep 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$19.00Sep 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams drop out?$19.01Sep 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$8.00Sep 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$40.00Sep 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$47.73Sep 19, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$13.00Sep 19, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes 3 different countries by September 30?$11.00Sep 19, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 22-24 ET?$1.00Sep 19, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?$1.00Sep 19, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$40.00Sep 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$23.00Sep 19, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in September?$2.00Sep 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in September?$2.00Sep 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?$5.00Sep 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?$10.00Sep 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? $1.00Sep 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams drop out?$20.00Sep 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Sep 19, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $15.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:58 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 27, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".