Ragged-Sandbar
0xd83f844e95fbbad1952f1b9a97ebc94b677087f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.62
Total PnL
$0.29
Realised
$-1.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Crin Antonescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Luigi Mangione plea deal in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crin Antonescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$402.88Nov 10, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition$10.00Nov 8, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$407.20Nov 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 49% and 51%?$410.82Nov 8, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 49% and 51%?$411.80Nov 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?$1.00Nov 8, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.08Nov 8, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$2.22Nov 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$2.00Sep 23, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook federally charged in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Cuban join the America Party?$1.10Sep 23, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.00Jul 10, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?$1.00Jul 10, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Cuban join the America Party?$1.00Jul 10, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmerica Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?$1.00Jul 10, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West launch his own blockchain before April? $2.11Jul 10, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$4.20Jul 10, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?$1.01Mar 21, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $56.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".