Organic-Bowtie
0xd8430cdbd7c259c91fa8b326b15063afd635b068
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.65
Total PnL
$-22.77
Realised
$-23.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
12 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$12.32
$0.12
- YES
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Trudeau out in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRipple ETF approved in 2025?$1.00Jan 2, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?$1.00Jan 2, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out in 2025?$1.00Jan 2, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?$1.00Jan 2, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court vacancy in 2025?$1.00Jan 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$23.0KJan 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery?$1.00Jan 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?$1.00Jan 2, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?$1.00Jan 2, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$23.0KJan 2, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 2, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".