Limping-Dwelling
0xd84928b11dcdef15db9a4a94c485606d74c993c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-793.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
1808 shares @ 61.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.1K
$-2.48
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
767 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$517.53
$-18.90
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
118 shares @ 21.2¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.80
$12.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
563 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
412 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-255.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
163 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
154 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$722.54Jun 21, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$710.29Jun 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$52.06Jun 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$205.88Jun 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$206.34Jun 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$355.72Jun 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$51.71Jun 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$51.65Jun 21, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$206.43Jun 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$36.21Jun 21, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$36.18Jun 21, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$35.76Jun 21, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$35.73Jun 21, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$35.76Jun 21, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$20.49Jun 21, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$20.46Jun 21, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$20.52Jun 21, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$20.52Jun 21, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$213.90Jun 21, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$103.73Jun 21, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $129.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.