Alarmed-Literature
0xd849d6c788386fde061bcf48da7169a7cca0c3b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Jul 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?$1.00May 9, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ben Finegold win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$0.00May 9, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?$1.00Feb 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Finegold win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$1.00Dec 30, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?$364.00Dec 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?$16.80Dec 14, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?$339.30Dec 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?$529.20Dec 14, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?$529.20Dec 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLGrant vs.Taveras$510.00Dec 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrant vs.Taveras$510.00Dec 14, 05:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $254.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".