0xd850ebc2cec344d79f65d6f9c180aadc4cc2d8dc
0xd850ebc2cec344d79f65d6f9c180aadc4cc2d8dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$3.65
Total PnL
$-394.52
Realised
$-6.17
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.65
$0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 20?
461 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 21?
282 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.28
- YES
Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
166 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 21?
129 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on February 21?
111 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on February 20?
104 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.90
- YES
Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 21?
93 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 24?$0.01Mar 5, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 28?$6.00Mar 1, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 28?$7.00Mar 1, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 1?$0.79Feb 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 1?$0.65Feb 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 1?$1.91Feb 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 1?$1.45Feb 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 1?$0.58Feb 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 1?$0.58Feb 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 28?$3.00Feb 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 2?$2.72Feb 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 1?$2.79Feb 28, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 27?$5.00Feb 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 1?$2.88Feb 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 1?$2.88Feb 27, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 28?$0.86Feb 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 28?$2.01Feb 27, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 1?$1.08Feb 27, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 1?$1.89Feb 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 28?$0.72Feb 27, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".