Abandoned-Eggplant
0xd853d66d72c5dab3cc285e92ac270d29ba83204e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-629.17
Realised
$11.68
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2941 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?
2483 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 4?
2216 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
833 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
691 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
683 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.63Jul 6, 20:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $49.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.