Anguished-Vellum
0xd85fa4a5b4f87a4098e88a1a17694f7d1930ff1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$38.10
Total PnL
$-3.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$10.00
$0.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
8 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$8.00
$0.38
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$6.00
$0.66
- YES
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$5.00
$1.90
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$5.00
$0.13
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$4.10
$0.10
- MISSOURI STATE
Spread: Missouri State (-2.5)
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.06
- NO
Will Guinea win on 2025-10-09?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$51.88Nov 5, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$17.17Oct 9, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.71Oct 9, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guinea win on 2025-10-09?$0.85Oct 9, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guinea win on 2025-10-09?$2.55Oct 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$27.15Oct 9, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.10Oct 9, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?$9.75Oct 9, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Heat$10.00Oct 9, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?$396.18Oct 9, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?$396.58Oct 9, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$412.03Oct 9, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$412.44Oct 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$272.67Oct 9, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$272.95Oct 9, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$400.14Oct 9, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$400.54Oct 9, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rental Family win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$59.34Oct 9, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rental Family win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$59.40Oct 9, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$39.22Oct 9, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $183.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.