Happy-Go-Lucky-Tophat
0xd861acc64dc092c4c563003c5302ab04b69594c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-175.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1003 shares @ 94.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$937.30
$-14.54
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
485 shares @ 35.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$177.03
$7.28
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
27 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$25.74
$0.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5AM ET
159386 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-79.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET
59138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 3AM ET
48500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1PM ET
23715 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 3PM ET
16100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3AM ET
15560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12AM ET
12262 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 30, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$24.00May 29, 19:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$24.92May 20, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$22.38May 20, 07:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 19, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $23.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".