Round-Armchair
0xd868c95d0f7dd13a126dc3501176a83277d590f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-97.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
1889 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
506 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?
83 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
52 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 3+ times during EPA announcement?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$17.00Mar 5, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?$0.06Mar 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$15.27Feb 27, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.14Feb 27, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$16.77Feb 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.95Feb 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$25.00Feb 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.00Feb 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$20.00Feb 27, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?$10.00Feb 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?$5.00Feb 27, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$20.00Feb 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$5.57Feb 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" or "Oil" or "Gas" 7+ times during EPA announcement?$0.02Feb 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$5.56Feb 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" or "Oil" or "Gas" 7+ times during EPA announcement?$4.98Feb 12, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".