Slim-Incarnation
0xd86eecae4c6100d3589dbe3dc6c582322ee23738
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$6.03
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.60 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.00Dec 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Dec 12, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$499.55Dec 12, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$235.50Dec 12, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$14.28Dec 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $143.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.