Excitable-Ignorant
0xd87c46d45771b379257e105eb8a6fb9f8bca8c12
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-214.44
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?
155 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-116.18
- YES
Will Andor win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
56 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.71
- NO
Will Trump say "Obama" during Philippines President events on July 22?
37 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.73
- YES
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
26 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.29
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
21 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.68
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
16 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-11.38
- NO
Will Trump say "Hillary" this week?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.15
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 5+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?
9 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- NO
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?
8 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$20.29Aug 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Yemen by August 22?$20.29Aug 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 22?$16.37Aug 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by August 31?$16.36Aug 18, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by August 31?$15.62Aug 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$15.62Aug 17, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?$6.89Aug 14, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Horrible thing" this week?$5.00Aug 14, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" or "Kamala" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?$11.89Aug 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" or "Kamala" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?$11.30Aug 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$11.29Aug 13, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 5+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$5.40Aug 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$5.41Aug 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$8.33Aug 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Stupid person" this week?$8.33Aug 10, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?$5.85Aug 7, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$5.00Aug 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hulk" or "Hulkster" this week?$10.85Aug 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$8.01Aug 5, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in August?$8.01Aug 5, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.