Agreeable-Skeleton
0xd881e372e1c11f0e2d5aa5bef8c3bea366f240cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$267.68
Total PnL
$-588.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?
362 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$267.68
$25.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
539 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-328.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?
53 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3?
46 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-31.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?
42 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?
40 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?
31 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
28 shares @ 76.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-21.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?
23 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$246.36Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?$19.59Jul 21, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$335.38Jul 21, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$65.14Jul 20, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?$15.64Jul 20, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?$28.46Jul 19, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$9.51Jul 19, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?$32.77Jul 18, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?$21.33Jul 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?$21.67Jul 17, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?$38.37Jul 16, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?$10.67Jul 16, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?$14.20Jul 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?$20.43Jul 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?$9.39Jul 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?$2.93Jul 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?$21.83Jul 12, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$30.76Jul 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?$14.14Jul 11, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?$21.86Jul 10, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $31.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.