Occasional-Octavo
0xd8880b8c9e4b4299da70e64d0e829041a1659ed7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.93
Total PnL
$-5.33
Realised
$-5.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- COLTS
Cardinals vs. Colts
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.15
$0.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.05
$0.04
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Oct 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$1.00Oct 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?$1.00Oct 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$1.00Oct 12, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCardinals vs. Colts$1.00Oct 12, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$1.00Oct 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$1.00Oct 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$353.36Oct 12, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$354.17Oct 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$354.17Oct 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$354.51Oct 12, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$354.51Oct 12, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$355.72Oct 12, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$355.72Oct 12, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$356.12Oct 12, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$356.12Oct 12, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $182.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 06:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.