Spectacular-Pegboard
0xd89e68bbe896ad5b61b250a8952f133eb063deb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$23.98
Total PnL
$3.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
5 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$5.34
$0.34
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
5 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?
4 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$4.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.13
$1.98
- NO
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
3 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.67
$0.17
- NO
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
2 shares @ 80.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.49
$0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$2.15Feb 25, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?$4.00Feb 25, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.00Feb 25, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.08Feb 25, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2.50Jan 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$2.00Jan 13, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$5.00Jan 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.00Jan 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$0.00Jan 13, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMScholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?$0.00Jan 13, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$0.00Jan 13, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$0.00Jan 13, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMScholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?$5.56Jan 13, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$15.02Jan 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$9.76Dec 7, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Dec 7, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$0.00Dec 7, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? $0.00Dec 7, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 7, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?$0.00Dec 7, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.