Esteemed-Hurricane
0xd8a2c10296f2b40da47d28ccf586bbcc5e22aff4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$80.25
Total PnL
$-697.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
103 shares @ 77.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$79.17
$-0.83
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 37.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$-2.11
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
339 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
254 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?
180 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
54 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$762.71May 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$212.77May 21, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.27May 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$80.71May 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$455.53May 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$101.59Apr 30, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$133.54Apr 30, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$507.25Mar 23, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$31.00Mar 15, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$20.00Mar 14, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina$50.00Mar 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina$35.00Mar 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$350.00Mar 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$50.00Mar 13, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry$44.30Mar 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win?$76.92Mar 8, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win?$25.00Mar 7, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry$35.00Mar 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win?$20.00Mar 7, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoor$20.00Feb 26, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $56.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".